Here’s an example of how parents are being lied to about the safety of COVID-19 vaccines for children.
Great analysis in this tweet by Jeremy Hammond.
1/ Here's an example of how parents are being lied to about the safety of COVID-19 vaccines for children.
— Jeremy R. Hammond (@jeremyrhammond) December 12, 2021
2/ In this @nytimes article, @AmerAcadPeds president claims "the risk of developing myocarditis after a Covid-19 infection is much higher than the risk of developing myocarditis after the vaccine."https://t.co/TcShuoUEyC
— Jeremy R. Hammond (@jeremyrhammond) December 12, 2021
3/ To support that claim, he links to this AAP article reporting on 2 CDC studies, the authors of 1 of which "say their findings support health officials’ assertions that the benefits of vaccination outweigh the risks."https://t.co/linI2llwqi
— Jeremy R. Hammond (@jeremyrhammond) December 12, 2021
4/ Evidently, the @AmerAcadPeds never bothered to examine that data to verify whether the CDC researchers were being honest about what it shows. They were not.
— Jeremy R. Hammond (@jeremyrhammond) December 12, 2021
5/ The AAP article reports that the 1st CDC study found an increased risk of myocarditis among children in the hospital with a COVID-19 diagnosis compared to hospitalized children without COVID-19.
— Jeremy R. Hammond (@jeremyrhammond) December 12, 2021
It did not compare the risk of myocarditis with infection vs vaccination.
6/ AAP then reports that the 2nd CDC study found an increased risk of myocarditis among males aged 12-29 years of 39 to 47 cases for every million children fully vaccinated (at least 1/25,641).
— Jeremy R. Hammond (@jeremyrhammond) December 12, 2021
It also did not compare the risk of myocarditis from infection vs vaccination.
7/ Note that we cannot conclude that the risk of myocarditis is greater from infection than vaccination from the information provided in the AAP article.
— Jeremy R. Hammond (@jeremyrhammond) December 12, 2021
8/ Just because there is an increased risk of myocarditis with COVID-19 and it is "rare" after vaccination does not mean that the risk is lower with vaccination vs infection.
— Jeremy R. Hammond (@jeremyrhammond) December 12, 2021
We need to actually do the comparison and assess absolute risk, which we CAN do from the 2 studies.
9/ The 1st CDC study found the risk of myocarditis among hospitalized children under age 16 with a COVID-19 diagnosis to be 0.133%, or 1 in 752 (and 0.146% overall for all ages, or 1 in 685.)https://t.co/ua5ilaSfKF
— Jeremy R. Hammond (@jeremyrhammond) December 12, 2021
10/ So, to do the comparison, we need to know how many children need to be fully vaccinated to prevent 1 case of COVID-19-related myocarditis, i.e, to prevent 752 hospitalizations.
— Jeremy R. Hammond (@jeremyrhammond) December 12, 2021
11/ The 2nd CDC study gives us such an estimate: Table 2: 215 hospitalizations among children aged 12-17 per 1 million fully vaccinated children. So, NNV to prevent 1 child hospitalization = 4651 children fully vaccinated.https://t.co/LdnKy9DRjr
— Jeremy R. Hammond (@jeremyrhammond) December 12, 2021
12/ Therefore, to prevent 1 case of COVID-19-related myocarditis, 4651 x 752 = 3,497,552 children need to be fully vaccinated.
— Jeremy R. Hammond (@jeremyrhammond) December 12, 2021
13/ Given the CDC's own data, therefore, for every 1 case of COVID-19-related myocarditis prevented, we can expect at least 3,497,552/24,641 = 142 cases of vaccine-related myocarditis among children.
— Jeremy R. Hammond (@jeremyrhammond) December 12, 2021
14/ Therefore, the very primary source data cited by the @AmerAcadPeds president to support the claim that the risk of myocarditis is greater from infection than from vaccination shows precisely the opposite.#InformedConsent cannot occur when parents are being so lied to.
— Jeremy R. Hammond (@jeremyrhammond) December 12, 2021